"Cheltenham
Racecourse" by Stephen Bowden (CC
BY-SA 2.0)
The Cheltenham
Festival is nearly upon us and the biggest race of the week, without
a doubt, is the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Run on Friday, the final day of
the meeting, this race brings together the best staying chasers and
they take each other on in what is always a huge test of jumping,
stamina and courage. This year, with the going expected to be softer
than normal it will take even more courage and character from the
brave horses involved if they are to lift one of racing’s biggest
prizes.
The soft ground,
assuming it comes, will suit some horses better than others, and two
of the horses that will love it are Native River and Definitly Red.
Although not favourite at the moment, it would be no surprise to see
Native River sent off favourite on Friday, as money goes on the soft
ground specialists. We have only seen him once this season, a
completely different preparation to the one he had last season. He
impressed on his return
to the track in February, and trainer Colin Tizzard will be
hoping he has done the right thing and got him spot on for the big
day.
Current
favourite Might Bite has a doubt about staying the Gold Cup distance,
and soft ground will question that even further. The likely drift of
Might Bite and the money for Native River is highly likely to force a
change in favourite.
"Cheltenham
Gold Cup" by Carine06 (CC
BY-SA 2.0)
Definitly Red is
an outsider for the race at the moment, but would be of real interest
on rain softened ground. The further they go, the better he will be -
so the more emphasis on stamina the better for him. He won in
great style at Cheltenham last time out when the going was soft, and
he is also going to attract a lot of betting support as we draw
closer to the big event. The latest Cheltenham
odds 2018 have Definitly Red at 12/1, something that is highly
unlikely to be available on the day, given the ground we are likely
to encounter.
The Brian
Ellison yard have targeted this race instead of another tilt at the
Grand National, a race in which he was pulled
up last year after the saddle slipped. He was desperately
unlucky that day, and will be looking for redemption in another big
race this Friday, when he takes to the track at Cheltenham.
Punters will be
able to see how bad the ground is on the first three days of the
festival before deciding where to put their money. However, if it is
as soft as people are expecting it to be, then expect to see a lot of
that money going towards Native River and Definitly Red. The money is
likely to send Native River off as the favourite, while Definitly Red
is also likely to shorten and those two can battle out the finish on
Friday, with a huge audience watching both at the track and at home
on TV.
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